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2A: The BIGGEST Threat From the 2018 Midterm Elections

I Voted Stickers on Flag Background

I voted in the 2018 Midterm Elections. Did you?

DISCLAIMER: We, at ConcealedCarry.com, generally try to take a balanced approach to politics in that we are completely focused on the guns, not political parties, in our reporting. While there are gun owners within both major political parties and also outside of those parties, we do recognize the well-publicized agenda of the Democratic Party to pass additional gun control measures. This article takes on the two parties more candidly than is typical on this site. Just know that our stance is that guns and gun rights trump parties and candidates. We remain focused on that ideal while understanding the potential threats the latest election presents.

We are one month in after a historic election. Chances are many of you have already put it in the back of your mind, and you've moved on. Because that’s what we do: we work, raise families, vote, and we go back to work. Yes, it was only a midterm election; surely there’s not much there to pay attention to, right? However, it was a noteworthy midterm from a number of angles:

  • First, for a midterm, it had one of the largest voter turnouts in history. According to NPR, nearly half (47%) of eligible voters cast their ballot, the most since 1966 for a midterm. Compare this to the 58% that voted in the 2016 general election, it’s huge for a midterm election. The 2014 midterm only saw about 37%. Voters were mobilized on all sides of the issues. There were many that were out to express their displeasure with President Trump and his party. But there were almost just as many that turned out in support of Trump as well. It does seem that the anti-Trump crowd was the overall winner, but not by much and by not as much as what many predicted.

Portrait of a black man standing in a voting booth

  • Second, the U.S. House of Representatives flipped back to “blue” for the first time since 2010. Come January 2019, the Democratic Party will take back control of the legislative agenda and operation of the House. Already, Democratic leadership is making it known that they will be pursuing additional gun control measures. This will obviously have a negative impact on things in Washington D.C. But any efforts made on their part will likely be in vain due to the Senate and President Trump not likely to go along with their antics.
  • Third, yes, there were a quite a few governorships, various state races that flipped one way or another, statewide initiatives that passed like I-1639 in Washington State, but there was something that you might have missed or not noticed that I think could have far greater implications for the Second Amendment in the coming months and years potentially …

Most battles won and lost over the Second Amendment happen at the state level. Yes, it is not good that the U.S. House has a newly elected leadership that seems intent on coming after the 2A. But what’s even worse is what happened in a number of states on November 6th.

This was the makeup of the country pre-Midterm Election. Red states are Republican trifectas, blue states are Democratic trifectas, and gray states are mixed. Image courtesy of: Ballotpedia.com

Are you familiar with the term “trifecta” as it relates to state governments? All states in the U.S. are similar to the federal government as far as having three branches of government: executive, legislative, and judicial. Just as having good checks and balances on the federal level is important, so it is true for state governments as well. There are also checks and balances in the legislative process in which in order to pass a new law, the two houses of the legislative branch of government must pass the new legislation and the executive must sign it into law.

So, a trifecta is where one party dominates both the House, the Senate, and the executive (President or Governor). It is what we had (and have now lost) on the federal level for the past 2 years with the White House, U.S. Senate, and U.S. House all controlled by the Republican Party. A “trifecta plus” is where one party effectively controls all three branches of government.

The most concerning metric from the results of the 2018 midterm election for me is the fact that 6 states (Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, Illinois, New York, and Maine) all flipped to Blue Trifectas. These are now 6 new states that could make for a very dangerous 2019 for the Second Amendment.

2018-Post-Midterm-Map

6 States turned into “Blue Trifectas” after the 2018 Midterms. Image courtesy of: Ballotpedia.com

I live in Colorado and was very disappointed to see this occur. Six years ago we had a Blue Trifecta. It went very badly for gun rights. A new magazine capacity limit was passed causing Magpul to pull most of its operations out of the state to Wyoming and Texas. We also saw a “universal” background check law passed requiring all transfers of firearms to go through a dealer. Many dealers won’t even process these transfers due to the headache of it all. It has become much more difficult to buy and sell firearms in the State of Colorado.

I am fearful of what might be on the legislative docket over the next 5-6 months or so.

Too often we see Democratic trifectas take full advantage of the opportunity and pass more firearm restrictions, but when Republican trifectas exist, opportunities are missed. This has been the case on the federal level where, for the last two years, we could have seen at the very least the Hearing Protection Act and National Concealed Carry Reciprocity passed without much of a fight.

In full disclosure, it might not have been quite that simple where the margin in the Senate was rather slim. But we had an opportunity, and we missed it. Such opportunities were likely missed in states such as Michigan and Wisconsin as they had Red Trifectas for the last couple of years and saw those vanish in this midterm election to where both states now have mixed governments.

Voting Man putting a ballot into a voting box.

Not all is bad news, however, as there were a couple states that showed some promise. Kansas and Alaska, for example, turned to Red Trifectas after being mixed governments. In these three states, a new opportunity exists to strengthen and reinforce gun rights for the people in those states. I hope they don’t pass it up like we did nationally.

Our nation currently has way too much polarization between ideologies and political parties. The rhetoric has become hateful and divisive. Let us not further this division. While we do not want to miss any opportunities to protect the Second Amendment, we also want to be responsible stewards and help promote positive thinking and ideas as it relates to the 2A.

The fight is less about being on the left or the right. It is more in the middle. There are many voters in the middle that believe in the Second Amendment. They may not believe it is as concrete a principle as you and I do, but they generally support the idea of gun ownership. They can be and need to be influenced to “see the light” about how important it is that we are committed to electing officials that will stand by the Second firmly without compromise.

For some of these “middle” voters the 2A is not a core voting issue. They may be more focused on education or the economy or even pro-choice. And yes, you can be pro-choice (I am not) and also be pro-2A. Promoting divisive and angry language about how “dumb” anti-gunners are will not win over the voters in the middle.

So for the next two years, let’s be focused on having respectful discussions with more people about gun rights where we offer well-thought out, logical, and solid stances as to why the Second Amendment is important and how we can ensure it stays that way for a long time to come.

Leave us your thoughts on this in the comments below.

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2 Responses to 2A: The BIGGEST Threat From the 2018 Midterm Elections

  1. Jason December 18, 2018 at 12:00 pm #

    I agree with the premise of the article in that we need to pe polite about our feelings on this issue. I also have found that many people have made decisions(on both sides) based on misconceptions. An open mind in most cases provides an environment for good decision making, unfortunately we seem to have become not only a nation but a world of no middle ground. Once a decision is made it is solid. One can only hope that humanity as a whole can learn to think reasonably. Until that time it will be difficult to retain the feeling of freedom many of us have become accustomed to and the argument of self defence vs. self preservation will be a conundrum as in many ways they are one in the same.

  2. Granny December 18, 2018 at 12:05 pm #

    Very well written and thought outg editorial, Riley. I totally agree that we missed several opportunities. It’s very frustrating when you realize how unequal the spirit of cooperation is between the parties (sorry, but it does frequently boil down to political affiliations). And the lack of action on the majority party’s side these past 2 years, with a highly supportive and determined President, leads me to believe those who failed to act are not whom they claim to be whilst campaigning.

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